[毕业论文] 从欧盟对华贸易国别差异看市场经济地位问题 [复制链接]

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毕业论文-从欧盟对华贸易国别差异看市场经济地位问题，共57页，33858字

中文摘要

中欧建交至今已逾 35 周年，随着双边经贸关系的迅猛发展，中国和欧盟在

各个领域务实有效的合作也随之深入展开。特别是在 2008 年全球金融危机之

后，中欧经贸关系对于双方的意义无疑更加值得关注。欧盟何时承认中国“市

场经济地位”是长期横亘在中国与欧盟经贸关系乃至政治关系中的重要议题。

在此问题上，欧盟内部发出了不同的声音，各国对中国市场经济地位的认定态

度与其对华贸易状况这两者之间是否存在着内在联系就是一个值得探讨的问题。

本文以数据为依托，通过时间序列描述性分析和聚类分析方法，试图通过

对华贸易依赖度和对华贸易平衡度等多重贸易指标呈现欧盟不同成员国对华贸

易的发展历程和整体现状，并将欧盟成员国分类。通过比对发现，欧盟成员国

对华贸易状况分类和其对市场经济地位问题的立场分类在地理分布上呈现出相

似的格局，初步证明了欧盟对华贸易的国别差异和其对华市场经济地位认定态

度可能存在某种内在相关性。这种相关性体现在：对华贸易占对外贸易总额越

高、对华出口占其对外总出口越高、逆差占其对华贸易总额越小、逆差占其国

国内生产总值越小的国家，越倾向于加强同中国的贸易，越支持给予中国市场

经济地位的认可、为中欧贸易提供更为便利和公平的贸易条件。

最后笔者对研究进行了反思，并提出了深化研究的思路。

关键词：中欧关系；中欧贸易；市场经济地位

ABSTRACT

It has been 35 years since European Union and China established diplomatic

relations. There has been dramatic growth in bilateral trade as well as in every other

aspect between EU and China. Since the 2008 Financial Crisis, the trade relationship

has become ever more important to each other. For a long time, China has been

striving for a market economy status from EU whose members hold different opinions

on this issue. This paper attempts to explore the relationship between each EU

member’s bilateral trade with China and their attitudes toward China on market

economy status.

Based on the annual trade data published by International Monetary Fund, I look

at the change in various bilateral trade factors between EU countries and China and

apply clustering analysis using six indicators including trade dependency and trade

balance to demonstrate differences between European members regarding their trade

with China. The classification results, to a large extent, geographically match the

conventional thinking in China about which EU countries are reluctant to recognize

China’s market economy status. Countries that are more likely to support China’s

market economy status tend to have a higher proportion in their trade with China over

their total trade, a higher proportion in their export to China over their total export and

lower trade deficit rates both over trade volume with China and over GDP.

At the end of the paper, I discuss the limits about my paper and some thoughts are

put forward on further research.

Keywords：EU-China relations； EU-China trade； market economy status

目录

第 1 章 引言 1

1.1 选题背景 ...... 1

1.2 文献回顾与综述 2

1.3 研究目的和意义 5

1.4 研究数据与方法 5

第 2 章 欧盟对华市场经济地位认定问题 7

2.1 欧盟对华市场经济地位认定问题回顾 ...... 7

2.2 欧盟成员国对“市场经济地位”认定问题的立场 ... 10

第 3 章 欧盟成员国对华贸易发展趋势 . 13

3.1 欧盟成员国对华贸易依赖度差异 . 15

3.2 欧盟成员国对华贸易平衡度差异 . 21

第 4 章 欧盟成员国对华贸易特征分类 . 26

4.1 数据与方法 ... 26

4.2 2009 年聚类结果与分析 28

4.3 贸易差异与立场差异的相关性 ... 31

4.4 案例分析：法国与保加利亚 ..... 35

第 5 章 结论与反思 . 42

图表索引 .. 44

表格索引 .. 45

参考文献 .. 46

致 谢 ..... 49

声 明 ..... 50

附录 A

附录 B

聚类分析变量表（标准化数据） ...... 51

聚类分析分组结果举例 ...... 52

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• 毕业论文-从欧盟对华贸易国别差异看市场经济地位问题
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